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Latin America Industries Outlook 2014     tipo_prod_name_i

Intelligence Series

Latin America Industries Outlook 2014

Focusing on emerging trends and forecasted prospects, the Intelligence Series works to identify opportunities for our clients in six leading sectors for Latin America. From an annual Industry Outlook to regular surveys of industry players to forecasts in each sector, as well as country and topical focuses, this product delves into the challenges faced and solutions developed in business practices for the region. It's real, actionable intelligence.

Telecom Stats 3Q13tipo_prod_name_i

Data

Telecom Stats 3Q13

Introduction Company results BNamericas Arpu forecasts for major operators Capex Ratings Ch Annual summay of sector Quarterly data - Mobile telephony Historical data - Mobile telephony Quarterly data - Fixed line telephony Historical data - Fixed line telephony Quarterly data - Pay Tv Historical data - Pay Tv Quarterly data - Internet Historical data - Internet Chapter III: Macroeconomic data Team.

 

Telecom Stats is an industry publication which synthesizes and analyzes the main indicators of the telecom industry up to 3Q13, using data to provide an update of this sector in Latin America and the Caribbean, as well as making projections for 2014.

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Peru's small power grid under the spotlighttipo_prod_name_i

Intelligence Series

Peru's small power grid under the spotlight

Peru's power grid is changing. Over the past decade, power demand and investment in the electric power sector have nearly doubled. Also over the last 10 years, the use of natural gas in the electricity matrix has grown considerably, from just a small fraction in 2004 to over 45% of the grid today. These changes point to a crucial and dynamic time for the country's energy sector. The challenges facing Peru include finding new capacity to meet booming energy demand

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Zinc: From underperformer to rising startipo_prod_name_i

Intelligence Series

Zinc: From underperformer to rising star

Many zinc watchers believe that there is a structural supply shortage on the way that will support higher zinc prices. Scheduled mine closures combined with underinvestment in zinc mine projects during the last decade means perhaps as much as 5Mt of new mine capacity will be needed by 2020. Production in Peru and Mexico, the region's biggest zinc miners, is on the rise.

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Into the Isthmus: Consolidation in Central America's banking sectortipo_prod_name_i

Intelligence Series

Into the Isthmus: Consolidation in Central America's banking sector

In recent years, Central America's banking sector has seen a wave of acquisitions by Colombian banks, who have sought new growth avenues beyond their home market. Altogether, once the last pending transaction closes, the Colombian-led M&A drive will represent some US$7 billion in investment. The banks are now a significant presence in the region, in some cases having snatched up the largest players in the local banking system. What fueled this cross-border spending spree, and why did it happen in Central America? Will the Colombian banks keep on buying? Is there anything else left to buy?

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Mining Stats 3Q13tipo_prod_name_i

Data

Mining Stats 3Q13

Introduction Forecast and Prices Copper forecast Copper forecast-yearly Metal prices - Copper, gold, steel and others Production - Annual production Quarterly production Historial mining production-Peru Historical mining production-Chile Historical mining production-Mexico Historical mining production-Colombia Historical mining production-Brazil Country and Companies results Country /GDP Company Results -3Q13: Sales - Profit Cash Costs - 3Q13 Tax burden comparision Credits ratings Macroeconomic data.

 

Mining Stats is an industry publication which synthesizes and analyzes the main indicators of the mining industry up to 3Q13, using data to provide an update of this sector in Latin America and the Caribbean, as well as making projections for 2014.

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Mexico: Plentiful funds, but improving infrastructure is no small challengetipo_prod_name_i

Intelligence Series

Mexico: Plentiful funds, but improving infrastructure is no small challenge

Mexico has launched an ambitious investment plan for 2013-2018 to build new highways, roads, bridges, and to develop passenger and cargo trains, articulated urban transport systems, bridges, and airports. Although the proportion of private sector investment in the plan is small compared with public investment, it is estimated that private sector investment in roads alone should be around US$3.3 billion.

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Regulatory trends in Latin America: Seeking balance between consumer and operatortipo_prod_name_i

Intelligence Series

Regulatory trends in Latin America: Seeking balance between consumer and operator

In recent IS reports we have examined the reform of laws governing Mexico's telecoms sector, which includes a reinvention of the country's sector regulator. To some extent Mexico is catching up with other countries in the region, which may lead some to assume that the more advanced regulators do not have so much work to do. However, there is plenty going on in other countries, some of it perhaps even groundbreaking. This report looks at the progress being made and particularly those issues that are cropping up in multiple countries.

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Latin America: Breaking through the shale frontier to achieve factory drillingtipo_prod_name_i

Intelligence Series

Latin America: Breaking through the shale frontier to achieve factory drilling

Will countries in Latin America be able to achieve factory drilling in order to convert their technically recoverable shale resources into economically recoverable resources? In this report we look at information from Gas Energy Latin America on the situation in the four countries in the region that are moving fastest towards the development of their non-conventional resources.

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Argentina's energies of the futuretipo_prod_name_i

Intelligence Series

Argentina's energies of the future

Congressional elections in Argentina made it clear that support for the government of Cristina Fernández is waning and change is on the horizon. In the energy sector, a shift in direction will come as welcome news. Ever since the crisis of 2001-2002, Argentina's energy infrastructure has been in gradual decline. Today, power cuts are commonplace, as are gas shortages. Energy projects have been stalled, foreign investment has dried up, and the state occupies itself by scampering to find expensive, short-term solutions to providing supply. But because of its world class resources, Argentina has the potential to reinvent its energy sector, particularly in two areas: wind and natural gas. With the right policy changes, some of which are already starting to be seen, could Argentina become a regional hub for the development of the energies of the future?

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Guatemalan mining: Conflicts rule, but key projects plow aheadtipo_prod_name_i

Intelligence Series

Guatemalan mining: Conflicts rule, but key projects plow ahead

Guatemala has seen a relatively major pickup in mineral investment over the past 15 years, but continues to offer a less than perfect investment climate characterized by regulatory uncertainty, community opposition and security problems. The latest reform effort promises to improve the socio-environmental elements of the law and raise royalties to support local development - a positive initiative as long as legislators can find some way to reach a consensus.

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Ports in Brazil: Invest or face collapsetipo_prod_name_i

Intelligence Series

Ports in Brazil: Invest or face collapse

A series of reforms, and around US$23.8 billion in private investment through 2017, is set to bring new operators to Brazilian ports, raise the sector's competitiveness, and reduce logistics costs by 30%, according to official targets. Brazil will certainly shrink its port infrastructure gap significantly, but it is clear that more must be done to overcome the bottlenecks affecting logistics competitiveness.

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Striking a balance: E&P rounds in Uruguay and Perutipo_prod_name_i

Intelligence Series

Striking a balance: E&P rounds in Uruguay and Peru

In Latin America, as in other developing regions, governments holding their annual E&P licensing rounds must strike a balance between their interest in attracting foreign capital to develop oil and gas resources and ensuring their fair share of the benefits. Although clearly very different, the cases of Peru and Uruguay provide a window into the needs and challenges of countries seeking an equilibrium between these goals. Peru is attempting to revitalize its long-established, but flagging oil and gas industry, so far with mixed results. Uruguay, meanwhile, is building its industry from the ground up, based on unproven, but promising hydrocarbons prospects.

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OSS/BSS trends in Latin America: Getting all ducks in a rowtipo_prod_name_i

Intelligence Series

OSS/BSS trends in Latin America: Getting all ducks in a row

Every day there is more reason for telcos to make their processes and systems more agile and more flexible. The technology behind Next Generation Networks (NGN), Software Defined Networks (SDN) and Self-Optimizing Networks (SON) goes a long way to providing such flexibility, but these still need to interact smoothly with any number of back office systems and the data contained within them. System consolidation and integration is therefore as big an issue today as it has ever been, if not more so, and this report assesses whether Latin American operators are responding to the challenge.

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Banking in Bolivia: Expansion under the sword of Damoclestipo_prod_name_i

Intelligence Series

Banking in Bolivia: Expansion under the sword of Damocles

Bolivia's financial system has grown significantly in recent years. Deposits and credits have been breaking records year after year and default rates remain low. The growth of the economy, high liquidity, and the expansion of the microfinance segment are also driving banking profits. But the government, which has already shown signs of wanting a less profitable and more redistributive banking system, has been implementing higher taxes since 2011 in order to capitalize on what it considers extraordinary income. Additionally a new financial services law was enacted in August which has led to caps on lending rates for certain sectors, floors for retail deposit rates, and mandatory allocation of a portion of the loan portfolio to productive projects and social housing, among other changes.

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Outlook 2014 Electric Power: Common problems, diverse solutionstipo_prod_name_i

Intelligence Series

Outlook 2014 Electric Power: Common problems, diverse solutions

Overall, 2014 will be a year of modest growth in the region's generating capacity, although there are several large projects under construction that will go into operation over the coming years that will ensure that investment flows and demand for goods and services will remain strong. In the meantime, electricity demand continues to rise, albeit at a slower pace than in the past decade due to the economic slowdown. Latin America remains a highly attractive region for electricity sector investors, where business opportunities are still plentiful in spite of the obstacles facing the industry, thanks to the need to diversify the energy mix, the heavy investments required to repair, maintain and improve transmission networks, and the search for efficient mechanisms to integrate renewable energies into the grids, in addition to various other challenges.

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Outlook 2014 Mining: Cautious optimismtipo_prod_name_i

Intelligence Series

Outlook 2014 Mining: Cautious optimism

The mining sector is expected to experience modest growth in 2014, with forecasts suggesting an improvement on 2013. Although the prices of most metals have been in decline, global production is expected to increase due to new projects and expansions coming online along with the resumption of suspended projects. In 2014, mining companies will continue to cut costs as they adapt to a new reality of higher construction (capex) and production (opex) costs and lower market prices after enjoying years of windfalls. 'The global mining industry has entered a more cautious period with more discipline in capital expenditure in order to increase shareholder returns,' says Patricia Mohr, an analyst at Scotiabank.

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Outlook 2014 Oil & Gas: Unconventional is the new conventionaltipo_prod_name_i

Intelligence Series

Outlook 2014 Oil & Gas: Unconventional is the new conventional

Two trends will shape the oil and gas industry in Latin America in 2014: The price of oil will remain at around US$ 100 per barrel for the fourth consecutive year and demand for petroleum products will remain historically high. With this as a backdrop, interest in exploring and producing Latin American hydrocarbons has never been greater. Innovation and new technology in the industry are at the forefront of exploration and production in Latin America, with Brazil's offshore pre-salt fields, Venezuela's heavy oil Orinoco Belt, deepwater exploration in the Gulf of Mexico and offshore the Falkland Islands, as well as unconventional drilling in Argentina all falling into this category. In addition, Ecuador's Ishpingo-Tambococha-Tiputini field (called ITT), which President Rafael Correa has proposed opening up to exploration, holds some 846 million barrels of heavy oil. The question remains, of course, as to where the safest investment lies, taking into account the cost of extraction, along with the royalty regimes, politics, local conditions and regulation in place. This report will delve into these topics to paint a broad picture of what the oil and gas sector in Latin America will look like in the coming year.

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Outlook 2014 Telecommunications: Content becomes ubiquitoustipo_prod_name_i

Intelligence Series

Outlook 2014 Telecommunications: Content becomes ubiquitous

It's remarkable how an industry can continue to evolve despite immense changes in the market, such as the fall of Nortel, Satmex, Nokia and Blackberry, or the creation of Telebras and Arsat. Once again, we can expect sweeping changes from one year to the next in the variety of services and the way people consume, simply by virtue of technological and regulatory movements. The October Telecom Outlook looks at the issues that are likely to drive such change in 2014.

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Outlook 2014 Banking: Growth continues, but at a slower pacetipo_prod_name_i

Intelligence Series

Outlook 2014 Banking: Growth continues, but at a slower pace

The outlook is promising for Latin American banks in 2014, although things will move at different speeds in each country. While Chile, Colombia, and Peru expect a moderate slowdown in the pace of credit expansion compared with the rapid growth seen in recent years, Mexico is expecting credit to surge due to greater economic growth. Analysts are also focused on Brazil, where the increasing role of public banks - which is driving portfolio growth at a much higher rate than the increase in the country's GDP - could put pressure on asset quality in the medium term.

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